{"id":12371,"date":"2026-08-04T09:28:29","date_gmt":"2026-08-04T09:28:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sib.co.ke\/reports\/?p=12371"},"modified":"2026-08-04T09:28:31","modified_gmt":"2026-08-04T09:28:31","slug":"sib-global-markets-weekly-brief-03-august-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sib.co.ke\/reports\/sib-global-markets-weekly-brief-03-august-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"SIB GLOBAL MARKETS WEEKLY BRIEF |\u00a003 August 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-file\"><a id=\"wp-block-file--media-b9144d07-7cf6-4fa0-a262-6004d9f925e4\" href=\"https:\/\/sib.co.ke\/reports\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/SIB-Weekly-GM-Brief-3rd-Aug-2026.pdf\">SIB Weekly GM Brief 3rd Aug 2026<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/sib.co.ke\/reports\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/SIB-Weekly-GM-Brief-3rd-Aug-2026.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button wp-element-button\" download aria-describedby=\"wp-block-file--media-b9144d07-7cf6-4fa0-a262-6004d9f925e4\">Download<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-e607b66fd1bae45b85768d0eced185f0\" style=\"color:#a9851b\">Highlights<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">U.S. equities ended the week mixed as investors navigated the Federal Reserve\u2019s policy meeting, ongoing Middle East tensions, and continued volatility in AI-related stocks. The Nasdaq Composite, S&amp;P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average posted gains of 0.52%, 1.05% and 1.17% respectively, while the S&amp;P Midcap 400 declined and the Russell 2000 was little changed. Technology shares remained under pressure early in the week amid continued concerns over elevated AI-related capital spending, financing, and rising competition. Sentiment improved sharply after Microsoft reported stronger Azure cloud growth and issued upbeat guidance, sparking a rebound across large-cap technology stocks. Consumer discretionary stocks led the market, supported by Amazon\u2019s stronger-than-expected earnings, while utilities and real estate lagged. The Federal Reserve left the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50%\u20133.75%, although three policymakers dissented in favour of another rate hike, underscoring ongoing concerns about persistent inflation. The policy statement was largely unchanged, while Chair Kevin Warsh offered little guidance on the outlook, contributing to heightened market volatility. Equities sold off immediately after the decision, and the Treasury yield curve steepened as long-term yields moved higher. The 30-year Treasury yield climbed above 5.2% for the first time since 2007 before ending the week near 5.26%. European equities joined in on the buoyant mood with the pan-European Euro STOXX 600 adding 0.60% in the week and hitting a new all time high within the week as stronger-than-expected corporate earnings and a late-week recovery in technology shares lifted sentiment. Eurozone GDP expanded 0.4% in the second quarter, exceeding expectations as investment in AI-related industries and government spending offset the impact of higher energy costs. Meanwhile, the Bank of England kept its policy rate at 3.75%, while warning that renewed escalation in the Middle East could prolong energy price volatility. Separately, UK house price growth slowed to 1.8% year over year in July. In Asia, Japanese equities finished slightly lower as investors assessed the economic impact of the major earthquake in Kumamoto Prefecture alongside the Bank of Japan\u2019s policy decision. The Nikkei 225 and TOPIX both posted modest declines of -0.39% and -0.20% respectively. The BoJ kept its policy rate at 1%, although one board member voted for another rate increase. Updated forecasts suggested underlying inflation continues to move toward the bank\u2019s 2% target, and policymakers reiterated that further rate increases remain likely as conditions evolve. However, movements in the currency markets stole the show, as the yen on Thursday recorded its largest intraday gain against the U.S. dollar since late 2023 after strengthening from the upper JPY 163 range to below JPY 160 and ending the week at JPY 157 levels. It was later confirmed that the US Fed and Treasury united with the Bank of Japan and the Japanese Ministry of Finance, activating a joint intervention on the price of USDJPY and the effects on the Yen-Carry Trade, selling dollars, activating swap lines and the use of Treasury sell-offs, to assist with the open market operations (OMO). Moving along to China, Chinese equities delivered mixed performance as weakness in mainland AI and semiconductor stocks contrasted with strong gains in Hong Kong. The CSI 300 declined while the Shanghai Composite edged higher. Notably, Memory-chip producer Chang Xin Memory Technologies made a strong market debut, with its shares surging more than 460% on the first day of trading underscoring robust investor appetite for companies aligned with China&#8217;s semiconductor self-sufficiency strategy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-40304040d719f15f2e2ae78633a7bbf5\" style=\"color:#a9851b\">Data Highlights<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USD Fed Interest Rate Decision stayed the same at 3.75%, in line with expectations. USD PCE Price Index YoY (Jun) rose +50bps, from 0.5% to 1%, against expectations for it to be unchanged. EUR GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q2) rose +50bps, from 0.5% to 1%, against consensus for an unchanged print. EUR Unemployment Rate (Jun) stayed the same at 6.3% expectations wrongly assumed it to fall -10bps to 6.2%. EUR Inflation Rate YoY (Jul) rose +30bps, from -0.1% to 0.2%, in line with expectations. GBP BoE Interest Rate Decision stayed the same at 3.75%, in line with expectations. JPY Unemployment Rate (Jun) stayed the same at 2.5%, in line with expectations. JPY BoJ Interest Rate Decision stayed the same at 1%, in line with expectations. AUD Inflation Rate YoY (Jun) fell -20bps, from 4% to 3.8%, expectations wrongly assumed it to be unchanged at 4%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-021ff243d23b584361262283ae7aea66\" style=\"color:#a9851b\">Week Ahead<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CHF Inflation Rate YoY (Jul) &#8211; Monday | NZD Unemployment Rate (Q2) &#8211; Wednesday | CHF Unemployment Rate (Jul), USD Initial Jobless Claims (Aug\/01), USD Continuing Jobless Claims (Jul\/25) &#8211; Thursday | EUR Unemployment Rate (Q2), CAD Unemployment Rate (Jul), Non-Farm Payrolls (Jul), Private Non-Farm Payrolls (Jul), USD Unemployment Rate (Jul) &#8211; Friday<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-f8461f9b09b273d2f05c207942762194\" style=\"color:#a9851b\">Read Full Report<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-file\"><a id=\"wp-block-file--media-b9144d07-7cf6-4fa0-a262-6004d9f925e4\" href=\"https:\/\/sib.co.ke\/reports\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/SIB-Weekly-GM-Brief-3rd-Aug-2026.pdf\">SIB Weekly GM Brief 3rd Aug 2026<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/sib.co.ke\/reports\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/SIB-Weekly-GM-Brief-3rd-Aug-2026.pdf\" class=\"wp-block-file__button wp-element-button\" download aria-describedby=\"wp-block-file--media-b9144d07-7cf6-4fa0-a262-6004d9f925e4\">Download<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Highlights U.S. equities ended the week mixed as investors navigated the Federal Reserve\u2019s policy meeting, ongoing Middle East tensions, and continued volatility in AI-related stocks. The Nasdaq Composite, S&amp;P 500, and Dow Jones Industrial Average posted gains of 0.52%, 1.05% and 1.17% respectively, while the S&amp;P Midcap 400 declined and the Russell 2000 was little&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":12099,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_kad_post_transparent":"","_kad_post_title":"","_kad_post_layout":"","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"","_kad_post_feature":"","_kad_post_feature_position":"","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"_kad_post_classname":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[172,1],"tags":[272,119,195,184,116,140,199],"class_list":["post-12371","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-global-markets-reports","category-weekly-reports","tag-dollar-index","tag-federal-reserve","tag-gold","tag-inflation","tag-sp-500","tag-treasury-yields","tag-wti-crude"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - 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