{"id":11839,"date":"2025-10-13T12:53:27","date_gmt":"2025-10-13T12:53:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sib.co.ke\/reports\/?p=11839"},"modified":"2025-10-13T12:53:29","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T12:53:29","slug":"sib-global-markets-weekly-brief-13-october-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sib.co.ke\/reports\/sib-global-markets-weekly-brief-13-october-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"SIB GLOBAL MARKETS WEEKLY BRIEF |\u00a013 October 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
SIB Weekly GM Brief 13th Oct 2025<\/a>Download<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Highlights<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

U.S. equities fell over the week as concerns resurfaced around escalating U.S.\u2013China trade tensions and the potential fallout from an extended U.S. government shutdown. Early in the week, the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 indexes traded higher, lifted by continued enthusiasm for artificial intelligence\u2013related companies. However, markets reversed course on Friday after President Donald Trump said he was considering \u201ca massive increase of tariffs on Chinese products\u201d in retaliation for Beijing\u2019s proposed restrictions on rare earth exports. The risk-off move sent investors into safe havens, with gold prices topping USD 4,000 per ounce for the first time\u2014reflecting elevated geopolitical uncertainty. With limited new economic data available due to the shutdown, focus shifted to the Federal Reserve\u2019s September meeting minutes, released Wednesday. Policymakers acknowledged persistent inflationary pressures alongside signs of labour market weakness, noting that \u201cupside risks to inflation remained elevated\u201d while \u201cdownside risks to employment had increased.\u201d Most participants agreed that additional policy easing later this year would likely be appropriate, though a few favoured a more restrained approach, arguing that monetary policy might not yet be sufficiently restrictive to warrant further cuts. Investors are also turning their attention toward the third-quarter earnings season, beginning with JPMorgan Chase\u2019s report on October 14. Corporate earnings are expected to play a more significant role in shaping sentiment in the absence of key economic data releases. Analysts surveyed by FactSet anticipate a ninth consecutive quarter of earnings growth for the S&P 500. Meanwhile, across the Atlantic, European equities declined as investors booked profits after record highs and as renewed global trade tensions and French political instability weighed on sentiment. The pan-European Euro STOXX 600 fell by 1.75% while the UK\u2019s FTSE 100 eased 0.67%. German industrial output fell 4.3% month over month in August, far exceeding expectations and fuelling fears of a potential recession. Moreover, France\u2019s government fell into disarray as Prime Minister S\u00e9bastien Lecornu resigned following the rejection of President Emmanuel Macron\u2019s new cabinet by opposition parties. Conversely, Japanese equities surged, with the Nikkei 225 up 5.07%, after Sanae Takaichi won the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) leadership contest, positioning her as the likely next prime minister. Investors welcomed expectations for fiscal stimulus and continued accommodative monetary policy. However, post-market news that coalition partner Komeito would exit the alliance raised questions about Takaichi\u2019s path to the premiership and increased speculation of a snap election. Chinese equities delivered mixed results during the holiday-shortened week. The CSI 300 fell 0.51%, while the Shanghai Composite edged up 0.37%. Looking ahead, markets are focused on China\u2019s upcoming Fourth Plenum (October 20\u201323), where leaders are expected to outline economic priorities for the next Five-Year Plan. Investors will closely watch for policy guidance on growth, consumption, and industrial strategy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Data Highlights<\/h5>\n\n\n\n

Canada\u2019s unemployment rate remained unchanged at 7.1%, in line with the previous reading and just below the 7.2% forecast. Switzerland\u2019s unemployment rate held steady at 2.8%, slightly above the 2.7% forecast by analysts. In the Eurozone, retail sales growth slowed to 1.0%, below both the 2.0% forecast and the prior 2.1%, reflecting softer consumer demand. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand surprised markets by cutting its policy rate by 50 basis points to 2.5%, below both the 2.75% forecast and the previous 3.0%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Week Ahead<\/h5>\n\n\n\n

U.K Unemployment Rate \u2013 Tuesday | China Inflation Rate YoY\u2013 Wednesday | Australia Unemployment Rate, U.S Retail Sales, U.S Producer Price Index – Thursday<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Read Full Report<\/h5>\n\n\n\n
SIB Weekly GM Brief 13th Oct 2025<\/a>Download<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Highlights U.S. equities fell over the week as concerns resurfaced around escalating U.S.\u2013China trade tensions and the potential fallout from an extended U.S. government shutdown. Early in the week, the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 indexes traded higher, lifted by continued enthusiasm for artificial intelligence\u2013related companies. However, markets reversed course on Friday after President Donald…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":11164,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_kad_post_transparent":"","_kad_post_title":"","_kad_post_layout":"","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"","_kad_post_feature":"","_kad_post_feature_position":"","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[172,1],"tags":[156,67,164,116,140,199],"class_list":["post-11839","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-global-markets-reports","category-weekly-reports","tag-currencies","tag-equities","tag-nasdaq-composite","tag-sp-500","tag-treasury-yields","tag-wti-crude"],"yoast_head":"\nSIB GLOBAL MARKETS WEEKLY BRIEF |\u00a013 October 2025 - Standard Investment Bank<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"U.S. equities fell over the week as concerns resurfaced around escalating U.S.\u2013China trade tensions and the potential fallout from an extended U.S. government shutdown.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sib.co.ke\/reports\/sib-global-markets-weekly-brief-13-october-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"SIB GLOBAL MARKETS WEEKLY BRIEF |\u00a013 October 2025\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"U.S. equities fell over the week as concerns resurfaced around escalating U.S.\u2013China trade tensions and the potential fallout from an extended U.S. government shutdown.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/sib.co.ke\/reports\/sib-global-markets-weekly-brief-13-october-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Standard Investment Bank\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-10-13T12:53:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-10-13T12:53:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/sib.co.ke\/reports\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/SIB-Weekly-Global-Markets-Report.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1080\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Edward Kalaghe\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"SIB GLOBAL MARKETS WEEKLY BRIEF |\u00a013 October 2025\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"U.S. equities fell over the week as concerns resurfaced around escalating U.S.\u2013China trade tensions and the potential fallout from an extended U.S. government shutdown.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/sib.co.ke\/reports\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/SIB-Weekly-Global-Markets-Report.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Edward Kalaghe\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/sib.co.ke\/reports\/sib-global-markets-weekly-brief-13-october-2025\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/sib.co.ke\/reports\/sib-global-markets-weekly-brief-13-october-2025\/\",\"name\":\"SIB GLOBAL MARKETS WEEKLY BRIEF |\u00a013 October 2025 - 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